OPINION

Why Israel Should Talk To Hamas

July 08, 2007
Dr Bhaskar Dasgupta

Ever since its birth, Israel has had an existential problem. And I do mean existential problem. In the past sixty odd years of its independence, it has always faced a threat to its own existence. In all cases, it has resorted to the military option to counter that threat with some instance of political and diplomatic initiatives added on. Israel now has the most powerful military in that region, it has nuclear weapons, it has the support of most of the world’s governments (including many Muslim and Arabic ones) and the deep links between USA and Israel preclude almost any kind of overt action against it. But what Israel is losing is the support of the people, and that in itself, is a far bigger threat than all the world’s armies combined. And none of those lovely F-16’s, Merkava Tanks, Uzi’s or its famed intelligence services can stop this. Let us explore why? And will we see an Israel in another sixty years time? What can Israel do to improve its chances and surf this changing environment?

Israel is the culmination of a national self-determination project, a project to create a Jewish homeland, protected by the strongest 'walls' possible, so that there will never be another exile or another holocaust. It is an existential driver, and people should never forget it, both foes and friends. When a nation is driven by existential threats all the time, the decisions and reactions of a state go further than what logic allows.

Secondly, most of the global opposition is clearly anti-Semitic in nature. You might quibble about what Semitism means, but most of the criticism and opprobrium towards Israel is driven exactly for the same purpose as that of Zionist hatred. The facts that no other “occupying” country gets the same treatment (such as India in Kashmir, Philippines in Mindanao, Thailand in Southern Thailand etc), and no other country gets the same widespread boycott calls (such as Sudan in Darfur, Russia in Chechnya, Malaysia in Malaysia itself, etc), and no other country gets the same unthinking hatred which pulls fanatical suicide bombers from around the globe, and no other country has so much proportional press and activist attention paid to it, all clearly point to Anti-Semitism. That said, this is not going to change. The fact that this discrimination is couched in liberal terms makes it even more pathetically repugnant (for example, British academics, journalists and architects boycotting Israel). It is unfair, it is discriminatory, it is morally revolting and people who do this are definitely intellectually challenged, but Israel has to live with it or better still, it has to manage it.

Be that as it may, the situation remains, that over a wide swathe of the world, Israel is now very quickly becoming a pariah state in the eyes of the people. And no amount of military hardware or Western (read US) support can change it, this is a battle of ideas, not a battle of equipment (mind you, even though they lost to Hezbollah in 2006 but that is another argument, Thomas Friedman’s arguments notwithstanding). There are four main reasons for them losing support. (1) The presence of Israeli settlements (2) The treatment of Palestinians in the occupied territories; (3) The discriminatory treatment of the Israeli Arab minority and (4) the American factor.

Israel is caught between a rock and a hard place. Demographically speaking, it's on the losing end of the scale with the rate of growth of its Jewish majority population being considerably less that the Arab minority. So that is an inexorable train wreck just waiting to happen. A geographically bound democratic country cannot simply be ruled by a minority for too long, the internal tensions tend to put in massive stresses in the country (like in Iraq, Bangladesh, Kosovo, Bosnia, Rwanda, etc.). One could survive for a long time with the minority carrying out repression, such as Iraq and Syria, but not for long, those stresses and strains will come out somehow and somewhere. (I have already explored this before in another column) But despite all its faults, Israel is a functioning democracy, and a functioning democracy cannot execute that kind of overt and relentless repression against its own citizens no matter who they are. But there is still sufficient documented and well publicised discrimination against its own Israeli Arab citizens which causes all kinds of problems. For example, if Israel is indeed a liberal democracy, then one cannot have an institutionalised discrimination towards its minorities. So Israel has to live with its growing Arab minority. See how India gets regularly pilloried for its caste system despite explicit laws banning discrimination and with positive discrimination.
To further compound the matter, Israel has gobbed  the West Bank and Gaza. I know it has left Gaza and Palestinian authorities control some towns in West Bank, but you know as well as I do that it is Israel which still calls the shots. To me, the current Israeli strategy seems to be a strategy of diminishing returns. What it wants to do is to string Fatah and Mamoud Abbas along, throw him some tax revenues, but do nothing at all to provide the basics, to wit, independence. In return Israel wants Fatah to provide security, which it does by clamping down on Hamas and Islamic Jihad (plus some of the other assorted gangs and goons). Fatah is full of corruption and pus. So what happens? Hamas wins. Now why is Hamas unwilling to negotiate with Israel? Why does Hamas still have the eradication of Jews and Israel in its guiding covenants? Because Israel’s negotiations with Fatah have shown that there is no point in any negotiations. So what’s the result? The Palestinians are now pushed into a tiny thorny corner. A classic situation which violates the fundamental dictum of warfare (for example, written by Sun Tzu), never back your enemy into a corner with no hope of escape.

Supporting Fatah is totally wrong. Remember what happened in China? Chiang Kai Shek had the planes, tanks and men. He also had the money and the support from USA and UK. But who won? Mao did! He did it by imposing a draconian discipline on his troops and managed to win over the people. How did Mao do that? See the following rules issued by the Red Army:

The Three Main Rules of Discipline:

(1) Obey orders in all your actions.
(2) Do not take a single needle or piece of thread from the masses.
(3) Turn in everything captured.

The Eight Points for Attention:

(1) Speak politely.
(2) Pay fairly for what you buy.
(3) Return everything you borrow.
(4) Pay for anything you damage.
(5) Do not hit or swear at people.
(6) Do not damage crops.
(7) Do not take liberties with women.
(8) Do not ill-treat captives.

From what I have read and heard, Hamas follows very similar rules for their own people. (Yes, it goes full on against Israel and Fatah, but not against their own people. And then what the Wwest and Israel are doing is to go plump for Fatah and Abbas. Talk about being condemned to repeat the mistakes of the past. You might as well as ask, so why negotiate with Hamas? My counterpoint is, you cannot kill off Hamas and Fatah is useless, so what is Israel planning to do? It cannot keep millions of people in a concentration camp like state for decades or centuries! Is Israel planning to have this existential threat throughout its future? Will Israel exist in sixty years? I would think not or at least, the probability of a peaceful Israel will continuously decrease if it does not proceed towards making real peace and not just negotiate about peace. So if the question does arise of removing the existential threat, then Israel needs to talk to Hamas. Political and Militant Islam is in play and will remain (see my previous essay on the enduring Muslim Brotherhood organisation). Israel has to manage and talk to it. The challenge is no longer from the secular leftist Fatah wing, which has now become a dribbling fool of an organisation. The challenge is from Hamas. Bring them to the negotiating table and give them a stake in government and then you have a chance of building something which will remove the existential threat. And yes, despite Hamas’s desire to eradicate Israel.

Israel cannot do much about the demographic bomb. In addition, it can also get away with the embedded pro Jewish character of the Israeli state. But what it can do is to create a two state structure which allows Palestine to have a self-governing entity. In an ideal situation, what Israel should aim for is to become boring and invisible to the Palestinians. Or perhaps give the Palestinians a stake in Israel. Either or both will do, otherwise the existential threat to Israel will remain.

All this to be taken with a grain of piquant salt!

Dr. Bhaskar Dasgupta works in the city of London in various capacities in the financial sector. He has worked and travelled widely around the world. The articles in here relate to his current studies and are strictly his opinion and do not reflect the position of his past or current employer(s). If you do want to blame somebody, then blame my sister and editor, she is responsible for everything, the ideas, the writing, the quotes, the drive, the israeli-palestinian crisis, global warming, the ozone layer depletion and the argentinian debt crisis.
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#1
Sanjay
July 8, 2007
01:00 AM

Bhaskar, your arguments are so preposterous as to be laughable. I will pick them apart shortly, when I have the time.

#2
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 8, 2007
04:57 AM

Bhaskar,

Aaman Lamba, the publisher of Desicritics, e-mailed me, asking to critique this piece. Reading this, I noticed a couple of spelling errors you might wish the editors to look at and correct.

In addition, if you mean to talk about Jew-hatred or hatred of Jews or the people of Israel, I suggest you use the term "Jew-hatred" rather than misleading terms like "anti-Semitism" or even "anti-Zionism." Jew-hatred gets the point across very clearly. For example, when an Egyptian mob shouts "el yahúd klabná!" (the Jews are our dogs) there is no intellectual discourse going on. When a crowd of "Palestinian" Arabs scream "tabáH el yahúd!" again, there is no intellectual discourse going on. This is mere Jew-hatred pure and simple. The people doing the screaming (or slaughtering, as was the case in Hebron in 1929 or Damascus in 1840) were arguably Semites, and were, by definition, not anti-Semites.

And they will all tell you this. In Hebrew, we call this "l'hitHamék," to slither out of something like a snake would. The slitherer is called "Hamakmák" and these Arabs trying to deny their obvious Jew-hatred are "Hamakmakím" of the first order.

The big positive in this piece is that you recognize that the Jewish entity here is facing an existential crisis. So many writers refuse to recognize this at all. At least you have more wisdom than they do.

As a student of history, I can tell you that the rules of the Red Army you listed were followed more in the breach than in fact. The Red Army was feared by all because they were known as a bunch of raping thieves when they fought. I also can tell you that these rules look awful familiar - the IDF developed its rules for "nikayón hanéshek" (literally cleanliness of the weapon, but essentially rules for clean and moral engagement in war) from the Red Army.

You recommend attempting to negotiate with Hamas.

If you know anything about the Moslem Brotherhood, from which both el-FataH and Hamas arose (albeit in different time periods), you know that they were originally like a Moslem scouting organization that fell under the influence of Wahhabi clerics many years ago; you will also know that they are influenced strongly by Wahhabi ideas and that the Wahhabi basically do not subscribe to the idea that you can be a person not of their faith and live.

From your own name, I assume that you are not a Moslem. So, according to the Wahhabi, and according to the doctrines spread throughout the Wahhabi financed madrassas world-wide, you, not to mention all the non-Wahhabi reading this, must either die or convert to be Wahhabi. Being a plain old Moslem is just not enough. You need to subscribe to the specific principles of the el-Wahhab and HIS interpretation of the Sunna and hadith.

These people are most unlike the vast majority of the Moslems of India, who, as of yet, are not Wahhabi.

The reason I'm going into this in such detail is that from this you should realize that there is absolutely nothing for Jews to talk about to either Hamas or el-FataH. With them, any conversation is about surrender and conversion - or death. The difference between el-FataH and Hamas is that el-FataH is willing to talk business with you and see how they can make money off of you before killing you. Hamas is more honest. So with el-FataH, that final conversation about surrender and conversion will come later - when your pocket is a lot emptier.

I commend you to the website of Sheikh Professor Abdulhadi Palazzi, a Sufi legal scholar for clearer and more accurate information on the Wahhabi than I can provide you. He is the expert. I am the mere humble student. You'll find his articles most illuminating. I have.

Finally, there is a route to peace for the Children of Abraham, though I sense that this route will not be followed before there is a great amount of blood shed first.

#3
Ashish
URL
July 8, 2007
08:36 AM

I agree whole-heartedly.
How can you talk to a group that does not grant you the right to exist, then it is difficult to justify talking to such a group. In the midst of intense international pressure including from Arab countries, Hamas refuses to recognize Israel.
Further, Hamas believes in the principle that any compromises it makes are just that, short term measures while it struggles to meet its goals of eliminating the state of Israel.
I believe that Israel recognizes the problems regarding the Arab growth rate, and hence the push to leave the Gaza strip and West Bank and not include them as part of Israel.
Further, the Arab minority have their own representatives in the Knesset and I believe even had a minister. I would think that it is the biggest test for ISrael, being a country dedicated to being a place for Jews worldwide, and yet be a modern democracy. None of the countries surrounding it can claim to be that.

#4
bd
July 9, 2007
04:48 AM

#1, thanks Sanjay, i look forward to hearing your unpicky comments :)

#5
bd
July 9, 2007
04:58 AM

#2 Levy, thank you for taking the time to comment.

1. could you direct me to the spelling mistakes? I re-ran the spell check but couldnt identify it.

2. Naming the behaviour against jews/israel/zionism is very problematical and I did address this point earlier, it also has my reasoning why i call it as anti-semitism, not least because generally, in the western world, that seems to be the general usage. Also, i dont want to get hung up on the nomenclature issue, if you know what i mean :)

3. The Red Army had issues, no doubt, we are talking about a peasant army with a long history of brigandism. But the fact that it did have these rules compared to Chiang's ruffians was a big factor in winning the hearts and minds of the populace in all the civil war battles. That was the comparison whcih I want to draw, comparing hamas with fateh.

4. Your last comments about not talking to either fateh or hamas is where we diverge on a philosophical basis. The fact that Israel has an existential problem means that it cannot wish hamas away nor can it erradicate it. Looking at how the world is evolving, my view is that a flanking motion by talking to Hamas as an organisation would be better. Look, Israel talked to Fateh, didnt it? despite huge numbers of documented statements starting from the late 60's that fateh were terrorists and nobody will talk to them?

Why live in a crisis when one can manage around it?

I do realise the "you are with us or against us" philosophy of the foaming part of the salafi's (rather than the wahhabi's!). But the advantage of speaking to hamas is that it short circuits the salafi's because if you can have a very long dated treaty with hamas, then the militant salafi's become hamas's problem (just like hamas and islamic jihad became arafat's problem).

You see, levy, there IS an organisation to talk to unlike we here in england who dont have anybody to talk to about the terrorist campaign. It will be a shame if Israel didnt utilise this opportunity to be smarter and outflank those foaming beards.

cheers

bd

#6
bd
July 9, 2007
05:03 AM

#3, ashish

that's indeed the challenge, but if you look historically, that is the starting position of almost all resistance groups. But you need to give something to them to get something back. Also remember that the reason why hamas dont want to move from their maximalist positions is because of multiple reasons, but given sufficient movement, like on the west bank settlements, open up the economy, etc, there is definitely a chance.

at end of the day, remember what happened in 1967 and now. or 1948 and now. Do you really want to suggest public policy to a country under existential threats? for how long? and looking at how the world is evolving, if israel isnt smart, then it will be turned into a pariah worse than its now.

hence my idea of a pre-emptive strike of talkign with hamas. Oh!, btw, one needs to take out the head of the snake in syria, but that's a different matter.

#7
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 9, 2007
06:18 AM

First of all, bd, not all Jews are named Levy. Try Ruvy, as in short for Reuvén...

One error I noticed (unless it has been fixed) is the word "Wwest" somewhere in the essay.

Second point. Wahhabis call themselves Salafis. The Caliphate called them heretics, idolaters and apostates and rightly so, for many of their beliefs.

Third point. Your last comments about not talking to either fateh or hamas is where we diverge on a philosophical basis.

Let's look at this from the point of view of a fellow commanding an army in the 7th or 8th Century. He is on the attack, he seems to be winning and he has a basic question. Should he loot the enemy and then kill him, or kill him and then take the loot?

According to el-FataH, you loot him first - and then kill him, taking what remains. According to Hamas, you kill him first, and then loot freely. That's the big difference between the two. All the rest is just ego and noise...

That's why there is nothing to talk about with them. They intend to kill us either way. The simpler solution is to blow the bastards away before they get the chance to blow us away. A tad bloody and uncivilized and not quite playing according the Marquis of Queensbury rules, but the issue is survival, not looking pretty in the boxing ring.

Unfortunately, in this case, we need to secure the victory over the enemy, no matter how bloody or genocidal that victory may seem to the eyes of outsiders, like the readers of Desicritics. Afterwards, after the Arab enemy has been reduced to groveling on its knees for peace - then we can talk peace. Till then, it is only war on the program - whether we in Israel want it or not.

#8
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 9, 2007
06:25 AM

bd,

Just a last point for you. I do not represent the ruling elite here. The ruling elite is a criminal regime that has cut deals with el-FataH in the past, and resents Hamas for taking away the cash cow that had been "Palestine."

Frankly the leaders of this regime have NO balls whatsoever - which is why there will be a terrible war here with many dead and with much destruction - soon, likely this summer or fall.

#9
bd
July 9, 2007
06:36 AM

Ruvy

my sincere apologies about the name issue, serves me right for doing so without editing my comments. Apologies again.

The all out war is definitely now higher in probability. After all, as I mentioned in my essay, when existential threats are being faced, the range of responses fall outside "normal" ranges. I mean, for example, the chances of a stray missile or a bomb falling on mecca are quite high. Seriously.

Securing victory over the enemy is where i think we diverge a bit. 1967 was as close as one can seriously get to all out victory, but 40 years now, the threat remains, and has morphed into something else which is far more dangerous because there is not much physically which can be done to it.

but I agree with you that war is near.

too bad

cheers

bd

#10
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 9, 2007
07:21 AM

bd,

Apologies accepted. No biggie. The '67 victory was a miracle, a gift from G-d. Our leaders were too stupid to understand that and have been spitting in G-d's face, figuratively of course, since then. So, the problem has indeed morphed into something a lot bigger than it had been in June, 1967. One pays for rejecting gifts from G-d, and indeed we are paying now.

Go check out Mark Schannon's satire at Blogcritics Magazine and my comments there. You may find them interesting.

Also check out this item also published at Jewish Indy.com.

Living here is a very interesting experience...

#11
bd
July 9, 2007
12:29 PM

I agree, 67 should have given them a good chance to really bury stuff, but there you go.

But based upon the performance of the israeli army, I am not confident that it can replicate a 67 again. It simply does not have the wherewithal to do it again, and more importantly, the US administration at this moment, is a lame duck.

Tough times indeed

those articles were quite interesting! :)

#12
Ruvy in Jerualem
July 9, 2007
05:28 PM

Thanks, BD!!

#13
Halal and Kosher
July 9, 2007
05:59 PM

Ruvy,

There is a Palestine Cabby, who takes me to airport, with whom i engage in discussion about Israel, which had led me to read about the history and present of this madness over there.

I will be getting back to you, with your Jewism and Feminism.

#14
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 10, 2007
01:09 AM

"Jewism and feminism?"

#15
Chandra
July 10, 2007
03:16 AM

BD

I dont think war is near. Asymmetric, YES (& Ongoing). Symmetric, highly unlikely.

I also believe that the Hamas is isolated and will have to find ways to be counted as an important component of (any) negotiations. What way it chooses will be interesting. As far as I have heard, the FATAH is an extension of the Mossad. Have you heard of Mohammad Dahlan's incredible wealth in London? So no worries to Israel from fatah.

rgds

#16
bd
July 10, 2007
04:30 AM

chandra

well, the way i would put it is that the probability of having an overt war is now higher. If you look at the news emanating from syria or relating to syria from israel, its slowly ratcheting up the scale, a general indicator of something going to happen. So, while it might well be unlikely, the probability has increased.

Second, yes, i agree with you, Fateh has now become an extension of israeli policy to a large extent, and no, Israel doesnt have a problem with fateh any more. But this is exactly what I am saying, that Israel should replicate its strategy with Hamas!, get them brought into the process!, an outflanking manoever so to say!

cheers

bd

#17
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 10, 2007
06:28 AM

bd,

I see you have not understood a single thing I have been telling you. From the point of view of the Israeli elite, "Palestine" was a cash cow to make money for the Israeli elite (like Yossi Ginosar and Shimon Peres) and the PLO was to be the strong-arm guy to help enrich the Israeli elite. In turn, the PLO, through the person of Arafat and his immediate lieutenants, impoverished the Arab cities and towns with gangsterism backed up with the stamp of approval of the PA. And they enriched themselves as well as their Israeli business partners. But Arafat's terror against Israeli civilians gradually killed off the "golden goose" of employment in Israel and thus killed off a lot of Arab prosperity. This was what I meant by "el-FataH will loot first and kill later".

The loss of jobs and economic security is the reason Hamas was elected when the PA was dragged into relatively free elections in 2006. Hamas has made no business deals with the Israeli elite. Their intent is to kill first and loot later.

There is nothing to talk about with either of these two groups, as they both have the same goal. And the leaders of Hamas, seeing what "looting first and killing later" (negotiating and cutting business deals with the "cursed Jews") has meant for the PLO, will not make the same mistake, no matter how much pressure is applied to them...

Give them some credit for intelligence.

The Tel Aviv peace elite, the rich pricks and soulless prostitutes who have ruined this nation, protected by barely having been hit by terror, and not having been hit at all by missiles, cannot understand that their survival is on the line. They refuse to believe that there is an existential threat to them. So they continue talking about talking, when they should be arming (and not talking about arming, either)! When the missiles hit and the buildings burn, they will finally figure out that they are kikes just like the rest of us, to be led to the slaughter or driven away from the country.

Then and only then will they rise and fight like the Lions of Judah that they are. The vicious irony here is that the peaceniks, secular Jews who do not have the respect of the somewhat more religious Moslems, will have missed a huge opportunity for peace davka through pushing their vision of peace through surrender.

Much blood will be on their hands and they will be judged for their actions.

#18
bd
July 10, 2007
04:12 PM

Ruvy

thank you for your note. Let us say that you are right in that there is no point in talking to Hamas. You do say that they have to fight like the lions of Judah. But I am afraid I am not convinced that fighting like the lions of Judah will remove the existential threat. Can you shed light on

1. What kind of fight are you talking about?

2. And what makes you think that that fight will remove the existential threat?

cheers

bd

#19
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 11, 2007
09:37 AM

bd,

Unfortunately, I think these events will occur not because I want them to occur, but because Israelis hate to be played for suckers. And the government has been playing Israelis for suckers since the beginning of the Oslo Accords in 1993.

1. What I'm talking about is an Arab (or Iranian) missile (as opposed to Katyusha rockets) assault on Tel Aviv. I think this is in the offing in the not too distant future. When it occurs, it will cause immense damage and many casualties.

When it does occur, the secular Israelis living there, heretofore carefree and willing to ignore all the suffering that the rest of us have undergone, will throw off the shackles of delusion and start massacring every Arab in sight, going south and east in raiding parties. What will convince them to throw off the delusions of peace and peace-making will be the burning buildings behind them, and the collapse of much the command structure of the IDF.

Their hatred of their murderers will arise like bile in the throat, and they will fight like aroused lions using every weapon they have and can steal (they won't bother buying anything). There will be vicious street fighting and massacres, and Arabs will flee from their homes to save their lives, as they are fleeing Gaza now.

2. The kind of fighting I describe above will not remove the existential threat. Accomplishing that would take a different kind of war, but if, in the wake of the collapse of the command structure of the IDF, renegade units get control of the missile force we have, you may see that kind of war launched. This is not something I can predict with any accuracy; however the books of prophecy in the Hebrew Bible indicate that Damascus will be a rubble - indicating an incendiary air raid or nuclear assault, and Ezekiel's prophecies against Egypt hint at a huge flood that will destroy Egypt - the kind that would be caused by the destruction of the Aswan High Dam.

If the Israeli government collapses under missile assault, then the folks living in Judea and Samaria will start to fight Arabs who will likely attack them. It could all get damned ugly, but we have the heights and can shoot down on an assaulting enemy. And the Arabs will not rain missiles on Judea and Samaria - too many Arabs would be killed...

In the event of such a conflict, I may be offline - and fighting in battle myself... ;o))

#20
Aaman
URL
July 11, 2007
10:46 AM

We'll pray you stay safe and perhaps even do some live-blogging:) Which reminds me, haven't seen much writing from you of late, tales of summer on the Red Sea Riviera, perhaps?:)

#21
Ruvy in Jerusalem
July 12, 2007
02:40 PM

Not all issues here revolve around war and peace. the biggest cause of death in Israel - other than disease - is automobile accidents. You'll be hearing more about this aspect of life here soon - either at this site, or at Blogcritics Magazine.

I have a funeral to go to in about an hour...

Nevertheless, Aaman, thank you for your prayers and kind thoughts. Regards to Deepti.

Reuven

#22
bd
July 12, 2007
05:15 PM

Well, if it comes down to attacks such as large scale missile attacks, then needless to say, talking will be furthest from the mind.

And for what its worth, I personally do not think the command structure has to completely break down for that kind of rogue action to take place.

Best of luck, Ruvy

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